Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.046500 0.053353 0.060497 0.068470 0.077087 0.086093 0.096185
2025-03-16 0.032156 0.041499 0.051935 0.064306 0.078426 0.093905 0.112023
2025-03-23 0.025901 0.037005 0.050142 0.066468 0.085865 0.107856 0.134358
2025-03-30 0.021179 0.033306 0.048426 0.067996 0.092030 0.120017 0.154513
2025-04-06 0.018393 0.031467 0.048510 0.071311 0.100047 0.134198 0.177000
2025-04-13 0.014768 0.027862 0.045810 0.070689 0.102904 0.141984 0.191786
2025-04-20 0.013609 0.027534 0.047297 0.075350 0.112314 0.157746 0.216246
2025-04-27 0.010703 0.024091 0.044096 0.073467 0.113117 0.162722 0.227486
2025-05-04 0.009564 0.023256 0.044467 0.076326 0.120023 0.175321 0.248154
2025-05-11 0.007752 0.020958 0.042423 0.075620 0.122064 0.181672 0.261025
2025-05-18 0.006758 0.019938 0.042195 0.077396 0.127385 0.192211 0.279187
2025-05-25 0.005859 0.018927 0.041861 0.078933 0.132334 0.202266 0.296775
2025-06-01 0.004150 0.015970 0.038239 0.075648 0.130867 0.204382 0.304943
2025-06-08 0.002784 0.013285 0.034747 0.072327 0.129229 0.206265 0.312930
2025-06-15 0.002367 0.012803 0.035107 0.075018 0.136237 0.219815 0.336233
2025-06-22 0.001922 0.012079 0.034921 0.076783 0.141898 0.231594 0.357327
2025-06-29 0.001703 0.011958 0.035866 0.080402 0.150328 0.247224 0.383620
2025-07-06 0.001203 0.010655 0.034306 0.079743 0.152335 0.254027 0.398267
2025-07-13 0.001150 0.010974 0.036088 0.084778 0.162961 0.272828 0.429002
2025-07-20 0.000722 0.009469 0.033834 0.082748 0.162795 0.276599 0.439673
2025-07-27 0.000610 0.009321 0.034512 0.085833 0.170478 0.291392 0.465216
2025-08-03 0.000384 0.008304 0.033080 0.085070 0.172160 0.297725 0.479381
2025-08-10 0.000287 0.007948 0.033145 0.086986 0.178019 0.309999 0.501649